• Inferring heavy tails of flood distributions through hydrograph recession analysis 

      Wang, Hsing-Jui; Merz, Ralf; Yang, Soohyun; Basso, Stefano (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2023)
      Floods are often disastrous due to underestimation of the magnitude of rare events. Underestimation commonly happens when the magnitudes of floods follow a heavy-tailed distribution, but this behavior is not recognized and ...
    • Sources of skill in lake temperature, discharge and ice-off seasonal forecasting tools 

      Clayer, Francois; Jackson-Blake, Leah; Mercado-Bettín, Daniel; Shikhani, Muhammed; French, Andrew; Moore, Tadhg; Sample, James; Norling, Magnus; Frias, Maria-Dolores; Herrera, Sixto; de Eyto, Elvira; Jennings, Eleanor; Rinke, Karsten; van der Linden, Leon; Marcé, Rafael (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2023)
      Despite high potential benefits, the development of seasonal forecasting tools in the water sector has been slower than in other sectors. Here we assess the skill of seasonal forecasting tools for lakes and reservoirs set ...